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"Cacialli, Doug" <Doug_Cacialli@URMC.Rochester.edu> replied:
> Thank you for your concern. I recognize the dangers in reporting
solely
> significant results as well as any of us, and I have voiced them to
the
> powers-that-be. The powers-that-be are seemingly unconcerned.
>
> I was considering outright refusal to print only the significant
results.
> But my principles are less important to me than getting paid. I have
some
> nasty habits I need to feed (habits like, eating, and living indoors :
-)
Perhaps it's time to take a lesson from Dogbert. Tell the
Powers-that-be
that you talked with some statisticians, who said their idea will not
work. Say that the stat-geeks insisted that without a full accounting
of what was significant and what was not, you won't be able to really
tell
what is 'significant' because of problems in computing the real
experiment-wise
error rates. In other words, if you have three significant cases out of
three tests, you have a different likelihood of such an occurrence than
getting three significant cases out of three thousand tests. The 'true'
experiment-wise alpha is not that nice 0.05 if you perform three
thousand
tests with alpha=0.05 in each. Show them the Bonferroni calculations
(which are admittedly over-conservative and assume complete
independence)
so an upper bound to the probability of making at least one Type I error
becomes
1 - (1-0.05)^n
which equals (for n=3000) a frightening 1.0000000000000000000000000
likelihood of at least one Type I error. (The probability of *no*
Type I error under the Bonferroni assumption is about 1.5E-67 .)
Then ask them whether they want to control the CER, the EERC, the EERP,
or the MEER in order t make their experiment more reasonable
statistically.
(The explanations for all of these are in the SAS docs, under PROC GLM.)
HTH,
David
--
David Cassell, CSC
Cassell.David@epa.gov
Senior computing specialist
mathematical statistician
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