Date:         Thu, 23 Jun 2005 17:46:40 -0400
Reply-To:     Doug Rohde <douglas.rohde@PRUDENTIAL.COM>
Sender:       "SAS(r) Discussion" <SAS-L@LISTSERV.UGA.EDU>
From:         Doug Rohde <douglas.rohde@PRUDENTIAL.COM>
Subject:      Re: challenging probability (baseball) question

I don't believe availability rates are relevant given that the labor supply
for baseball is effectively drawn from all of the western hemisphere,
Japan, and Korea.  Teams don't just scout in their backyards.

BTW, I don't believe anybody has mentioned this yet, but there are 30 MLB
teams, not 26 as posed in the original question.  Of course that's relevant
only if this is a real question somebody is trying to answer.  Maybe we're
just trying to figure out HOW to answer the question.

Doug R


On Thu, 23 Jun 2005 16:32:06 -0400, Dianne Rhodes <RHODESD1@WESTAT.COM>
wrote:

>We did a lot of work for companies filing EEO-1 reports.
>One of my jobs was to get the availability rates for the job categories
>in the locations, using Census data.  Then I punched cards (!) and fed
>them into a black box program that spit out the probability of
>under-utilization and concentrations by various factors: sex, race, and
>age.
>So you would need to get availability rates for each city.  Oakland may
>have fewer AA ballplayers than say, Washington DC.  Or you could use
>national rates.
>