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Date:         Thu, 20 Apr 2006 10:32:53 +0800
Reply-To:     j.forbes@ecu.edu.au
Sender:       "SPSSX(r) Discussion" <SPSSX-L@LISTSERV.UGA.EDU>
From:         John Forbes <j.forbes@ecu.edu.au>
Organization: Edith Cowan University
Subject:      Re: Multinomial Logistic Regression
Comments: To: Mark A Davenport MADAVENP <M_Davenport@uncg.edu>
In-Reply-To:  <OF6C1DA6AB.2D0B8D77-ON85257155.004EAB5B-85257155.004F0FA7@uncg.edu>
Content-Type: text/plain; charset="us-ascii"

Thanks Mark,

My research is examining positive psychological functioning, particularly in terms of its influence on the development of depression. My participants have provided responses to a range of instruments at two times, and I'm trying to use my Time 1 data to predict a participant's depression status at Time 2 (Not Depressed, Borderline Depression, Depressed). I have been using both scale scores and item scores as covariates (I must admit, though, that I'm a little hazy on the use of ordinal data as a covariate). I have data from 571 participants at Time 1, and 409 at Time 2.

Thanks again for your help - and anyone else who wants to chip in! :)

Cheers .................... John

-----Original Message----- From: SPSSX(r) Discussion [mailto:SPSSX-L@LISTSERV.UGA.EDU] On Behalf Of Mark A Davenport MADAVENP Sent: Wednesday, 19 April 2006 10:24 PM To: SPSSX-L@LISTSERV.UGA.EDU Subject: Re: Multinomial Logistic Regression

There are a variety of reasons why your chi-square is high yet may not be accurate. Can you tell us more about the the models youa re testing? If you have removed a covariate from the final model or you are using non-categorical covariates, your chi-square may not be accurately reflected. Additionally (I know this is a problem with SEM models), chi-square is notoriously sensative to sample size.Tell us more about what you are doing and we may be able to help.

Mark

**************************************************************************** **************************************************************************** ******* Mark A. Davenport Ph.D. Asst. to the Vice Chancellor for Student Affairs Office of Student Affairs Research and Evaluation The University of North Carolina at Greensboro 336.334.5582 M_Davenport@uncg.edu

'An approximate answer to the right question is worth a good deal more than an exact answer to an approximate question.' --a paraphrase of J. W. Tukey (1962)

John Forbes <j.forbes@ecu.edu.au> Sent by: "SPSSX(r) Discussion" <SPSSX-L@LISTSERV.UGA.EDU> 04/19/2006 04:48 AM Please respond to j.forbes@ecu.edu.au

To SPSSX-L@LISTSERV.UGA.EDU cc

Subject Multinomial Logistic Regression

Hi everyone,

I've received some output that I don't quite understand when I run a MLR in SPSS 14.0.1.

The model-fitting information yields a chi-square of 301.67, with a sig. of .000 - which I believe indicates that the final model does a better job of describing the data than one using the intercept only. Nagelkerke's pseudo R-Square is .704. Finally, the classification table indicates that I'm correct 96.9%, 46.2%, and 68.6% of the time in terms of classifying participants into my three groups.

All of the above seems to indicate that the model is going quite well.

However, the Goodness of Fit table indicates a significant Pearson chi-square (p=.000), while the Deviance value is 1.000. I believe that a significant result indicates a poor model fit - so I'm receiving conflicting information from this table. Having .000 'and' 1.000 doesn't seem right to me, but everything else appears to indicate that the model isn't too shabby.

Is anyone able to explain this conflict, and perhaps suggest how I might be able to resolve it?

Many thanks .................. John


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